A new draft report from the United States’ top intelligence analyst forecasts future security threats to the U.S. and other nations from climate change, as well as declining influence of the U.S. on world affairs. The report is intended to brief the new U.S. president early next year on the security outlook for the next 15 years, and parts of the assessment may sound familiar to environmentalists and other climate watchers since the U.S. intelligence community is apparently up on its climate science. The report predicts that climate change will cause drought and food shortages and exacerbate freshwater supplies around the globe; it will also likely cause dustbowl conditions in the U.S. Southwest making the area hostile to agriculture. For developing countries, climate change “could be the straw that breaks the camel’s back,” leading to political and humanitarian crises and spurring mass migrations, said report author Thomas Fingar. The new report’s climate conclusions are in line with three other climate-change security assessments also released this year from the U.S., Britain, and the European Union.
