The U.S. will be energy independent by 2035! And it’ll only cost us a few measly degrees Fahrenheit.
The new World Energy Outlook report from the International Energy Agency is chock-full of forecasts like that one about global energy markets [PDF]. More big news: The U.S. is poised to become the world’s largest oil producer by 2020, overtaking Saudi Arabia and Russia, and to start exporting more oil than we import by 2030.
![IEA1](http://grist.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/iea1.jpg)
The continued rise of dirty energy is bad news if you care about the climate. Is there any good news about clean energy? Well, renewables could become the world’s second-largest source of power generation by 2015, second only to coal, if clean-energy subsidies keep rising. The IEA projects that such subsidies could hit $240 billion by 2035, at which point renewables could draw even with coal in terms of electricity generation.
![IEA2](http://grist.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/iea21.jpg)
But ultimately the IEA sees lots more coal, oil, and natural gas in our future. The U.S. may be energy independent by 2035, but we’ll have a fried climate to show for it. The IEA projects that we’ll see a 6.5 degree Fahrenheit (3.6 degrees Celsius) rise in global temperature by then should our hunger for energy stay this course.
![IEA3](http://grist.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/iea3.jpg)