This nightmarish model comes from the National Center for Atmospheric Research, which predicts that BP oil “might soon extend along thousands of miles of the Atlantic coast and open ocean as early as this summer.”

“I’ve had a lot of people ask me, ‘Will the oil reach Florida?'” NCAR scientist Synte Peacock said in a statement today. “Actually, our best knowledge says the scope of this environmental disaster is likely to reach far beyond Florida, with impacts that have yet to be understood.”

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NCAR’s statement also addresses whether the slick could reach Europe and concludes that it will have disintegrated beyond harmful concentrations by then. So there’s some, uh, some good news. Sigh.

Speaking of grim tidings, new “worst case scenario” projections from energy investors say the spill could last until Christmas. “Worst case” turns out to be a rather fluid concept.


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