El Nino
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El Niño-driven sea surface temperatures are soaring.
Last week I noted that the weak El Niño appears to be strengthening, as expected, so record temperatures will continue. The warming in the Nino 3.4 region of the Pacific is typically used to define an El Niño — sustained postive sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies of greater than 0.5°C across the central tropical Pacific […]
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The weak El Niño appears to be strengthening
Two weeks ago I blogged that NASA reports hottest June to September on record; NOAA says “weak” El Niño “expected to strengthen and last through” winter. NOAA’s National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center (and most other models) have been predicting for a couple of months that the weak El Niño would strengthen, but it hasn’t. […]
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NASA reports hottest June to September on Record
Fast on the heels of the second warmest August on record and warmest June-July-August for the oceans, NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies reports that this was the second hottest September on record. Unlike NOAA, which will announce its September global analysis in a few days, NASA just quietly updates its data set (here). So […]
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NOAA: El Niño expected to strengthen and last through the Northern Hemisphere winter
NOAA’s National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center released its monthly El Niño/Southern oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion: A weak El Niño continued during August 2009, as sea surface temperature (SST) remained above-average across the equatorial Pacific Ocean (Fig. 1). Consistent with this warmth, the latest weekly values of the Niño-region SST indices were between +0.7°C […]
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NASA: Second hottest July on record
Fast on the heels of the second hottest June on record, NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies reports that July is also the second hottest on record. NASA just quietly updates its data set (here). NASS GISS is much more low-key than NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center, which issues a major report on the climate […]
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NOAA: “El Niño is expected to strengthen and last through” winter
NOAA’s National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center released its monthly El Niño/Southern oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion: Synopsis: El Niño is expected to strengthen and last through the Northern Hemisphere Winter 2009-2010. A weak El Niño was present during July 2009, as monthly sea surface temperatures (SST) departures ranged from +0.5°C to +1.5°C across the equatorial […]
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NCDC: Second hottest June on record — and El Nino “to threaten previous record highs”
Fast on the heels of the fourth warmest May on record, NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center reports: Based on preliminary data, the globally averaged combined land and sea surface temperature was the second warmest on record for June, and the January-June year-to-date tied with 2004 as the fifth warmest on record. NCDC notes that the […]
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NOAA: Fourth warmest May on record; model predicts a long and strong El Niño
Fast on the heels of the fifth warmest April on record, NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center reports: Based on preliminary data, the globally averaged combined land and sea surface temperature was the fourth warmest on record for May, the fifth warmest for boreal spring (March-May), and tied with 2003 as the sixth warmest January-May year-to-date […]
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NOAA puts out “El Niño Watch” — record temperatures are coming
ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch Synopsis: Conditions are favorable for a transition from ENSO-neutral to El Niño conditions during June − August 2009. So begins the monthly El Niño/Southern oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion issued by the Climate Prediction Center of NOAA’s National Weather Service. This is a significant change from their recent predictions […]