Tropical Depression Imelda turned southeast Texas into a disaster zone last week, dumping more than 40 inches of rain east of Houston and bringing back memories of the monster storm Hurricane Harvey in 2017.* Hundreds of homes have been flooded and more than 1,000 people rescued from the floodwaters.
Who would have thought a âtropical depressionâ could be this terrible? Well … meteorologists did, including one named Marshall Shepherd. He wrote an article way back on Monday warning that âmajor floodingâ could be heading to the region.
Shepherd, an atmospheric sciences professor at the University of Georgia, would like the phrase âitâs just a tropical depressionâ to disappear. Our preoccupation with âhurricaneâ status leads people to underestimate the threat of tropical depressions like Imelda, he wrote on Forbes.com on Thursday.
Stunning how many people NOT aware of what is going on in SE #Texas/Houston/Beaumont right now w/remnants of #Imelda. Approaching Harvey scale event, but probably doesn't have national attention because not a major hurricane. "Just a tropical depression". Was forecasted too
— Dr. Marshall Shepherd (@DrShepherd2013) September 19, 2019
People in the Houston area âlet their guard downâ after the first rains came through, a local meteorologist told the Houston Chronicle, and there was a general sentiment that the stormâs wild flooding âcame out of nowhere.â
Meteorologists measure a stormâs wind speed to determine whether itâs a hurricane and, if so, which category. A tropical cyclone (the catch-all term for these rapidly rotating storm systems) with slow-moving winds is called a âtropical depression.â The National Weather Service declares it a âtropical stormâ when its winds reach 39 mph and a âhurricaneâ when they crest 74 mph.
But that approach is becoming controversial because the deadliest threat from storms isnât wind, itâs water. Flooding and surging coastal waters account for about 88 percent of deaths from hurricanes in the United States, according to the National Hurricane Center.
And guess whatâs making tropical cyclones wetter and therefore more dangerous? Yep, itâs climate change. Itâs also encouraging storms to stall, giving them even more time to dump buckets of water onto towns.
Imelda, with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph, narrowly qualified for a name at all — the cutoff is 39 mph. Itâs not the first barely-named storm to wreak havoc in Texas. Back in 2001, Tropical Storm Allison doused Houston with as much as 25 inches of rain, causing some $5 billion in damages.
Shepherd was amazed by all of the âwe didnât knowâ or âwe knew about Harvey, not Imeldaâ narratives that were showing up on social media in the days after the storm hit, he wrote on Twitter. Some Texans who hadnât heard much about Imelda blamed it on the lack of media hype about the storm.
https://twitter.com/worldtrvlbarbie/status/1174796643771781121
Some researchers have proposed updates or alternatives to the current system for classifying hurricanes, known as the Saffir-Simpson scale, calling for an approach that takes into account rainfall, storm surge, and the overall size of the storm. Until then, Imelda serves as a reminder that tropical depressions can bring as much damage as a hurricane.
*Correction: An earlier version of this article misstated the year that Hurricane Harvey hit.